this post was submitted on 24 Aug 2023
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[–] [email protected] 19 points 10 months ago (3 children)

Did I not see a video with rocket trails? Also it was missing a wing and on fire. Something blew it up

[–] [email protected] 19 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

I mean, the FSB could have easily had an asset inside the refueling operation at the Moscow airport. Place a small time-delayed explosive charge in the fuel intake of the left wing just before take-off, and you'd end up with pretty much exactly the crash profile we've seen.

It's cheaper and more reliable than a missile, leaves less physical evidence behind, and maintains a higher level of plausible deniability. Especially if your fallback plan is to blame it on the Ukrainians if the plot gets discovered.

Source: I watched all 7 seasons of Homeland.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 10 months ago

There was a video circulating right after Prigozhin's plane went down that turned out to be an old video of a different plane being shot down some time previously, perhaps you saw that.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 months ago (2 children)

I think a bomb is more likely for a couple of reasons. Firstly the breakup occurred around the tail section .. that doesn't square with a guided missile which normally targets the nose or engines. Second a bomb is much easier to conceal than a missile. I think the smoke in the video was from the explosion itself.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago

The engines are at the back of this aircraft. Also in Russia, Russian air defence sites do not need to be concealed from Russian business jets. That said, I find either cause equally plausible.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago

All good points. Also, it's hella cheaper, plus also avoids the risk of someone with a cellphone capturing your SAM launch on video.